1 Module Title: Governance and Economic Growth in Transition Module Code: 7YYRN008 Department: King’s Russia Institute Programme: MSc Russian Politics & Society Tutor: Marc P. Berenson, Ph.D. Email: marc.berenson@kcl.ac.uk Office Number & Building: Bush House Northeast Wing, Room 8.08 Office Hours (Spring): Mondays 2 to 3 pm; Fridays 1 to 2 pm (By Appointment) Credit Level: 7 Credit Value: 15 Teaching period of module: Semester 1 Lecture & Seminar Timetable: Fridays, 17 January – 28 March 2 to 4 pm in Strand Building Room S-2.25 Assessment pattern: Class participation (10 percent of final grade) 2 x 1,500-word online tests (45 percent each; 90 percent of final grade) Marking criteria: (see final page of outline) First Essay Questions Available: Monday, 24 February 2025 at 10 am online First Essay Due: Submit by Thursday, 27 February 2025 at 3 pm online Second Essay Questions Available: Monday, 31 March 2025 at 10 am online Second Essay Due: Submit by Thursday, 3 April 2025 at 3 pm online Outline The central puzzles to be addressed by the module Governance and Economic Growth in Transition are whether economic development will be conducive to political democracy across the twin Central and Eastern Europe and former Soviet regions more broadly (and across Poland, Russia and Ukraine, more specifically), whether democracy fosters or hinders material welfare, the degree to which economic growth in the regions is sustainable, and what policy options are available to increase both growth and sustainability. The module will address key issues including models of economic development in comparative perspective, the importance of regime type, paths of transition from planned to market economies, the interaction between the extractive industries and other economic sectors, the politics of economic reform, the origins of the post-communist market economy, business regulation and privatization. These are the two main, overarching questions that will draw special attention in this course and which will frame our analysis of economic growth and development in post-socialist transition states. First, we will examine the popular and widely debated hypothesis that economic development is a prerequisite for democracy, as well as examine a set of alternative 2 hypotheses as some scholars have dismissed the economic development-as-prerequisite-for- democracy argument. Then, we will delineate whether political regimes really do matter when it comes to economic growth. Democracy and growth have long been considered to be at odds with one another, but recent research has shed light on why democracy may be better for achieving wealth than dictatorships, depending upon certain factors. Next, we will delve more deeply into the difficult dual transition that the post-communist region has endured over the past two to three decades with an attempt to parse out the causal factors at play for the collapse of the socialist economy and political system, the various political and economic outcomes that emerged across the post-communist landscape and the economic reform course that followed. Reviewing here the economic crises, reform paths and avenues for growth that have been pursued will enable us to assess whether and how opportunities for future economic growth have been expanded or constrained by the nature of the transition. Finally, after examining two facets of the current post-communist governance and economic model (an increase in corruption and administrative influence in the economy and reliance on the oil/natural resource economy), we will examine what exactly is Globalization and the post-communist region’s role in it since the marketplace is becoming more “globalized” each year. Is the international economy a good or bad thing for Central and Eastern Europe and Russia, and whether it provides for greater opportunities or greater constraints with respect to achieving economic wealth. Learning Outcomes At the end of the course, students should have: • A knowledge of the dynamic debates regarding the origins of democracy; • A greater comprehension of the diversity of arguments used for and against hypotheses that certain economic perquisites are needed for democratization to occur and whether they are appearing in the post-communist twin regions of Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union today; • A firm grasp on the different theories that link regime-types, especially democracy and authoritarianism, to economic development as well as a firm grasp of the statistical evidence on these linkages to date; • An appreciation that these theories on the linkages between democracy, regime types, economic wealth and Globalization can be applied to the Russian case as well as to other Central and Eastern European cases; • An ability to analyse the economic reforms and privatization plans of the 1990s from the perspective of economic growth in Russia and Central and Eastern Europe today; • A more nuanced interpretation as to whether and how the oil (and natural resource) economy will continue to aid post-communist economic growth in the future; • An ability to formulate plausible arguments in support for or against these hypotheses and to be capable of presenting such arguments in a thoughtful, considerate and well- articulated manner to a class audience; • A command of what Globalization actually is, or rather on the different theoretical perspectives as to what Globalization actually is; and • An ability to identify ways in which Globalization may help or hurt the Russian state and Central and Eastern Europe. 3 Course Structure Session PART I: ECONOMIC ORIGINS OF DEMOCRACY DATE 1 Introduction. Does Wealth Lead to Democracy? The Economic Development as a Prerequisite for Democracy Argument 17 January 2025 2 Do Political Regimes Matter? How Democracy Might Affect Growth 24 January 2025 PART II: THE DIFFICULT DUAL TRANSITION 3 What was State Socialism? What was the Soviet Union? Why did State Socialism and the Soviet Union Collapse? 31 January 2025 4 What Accounts for the Diversity in Post-Communist Outcomes? 7 February 2025 PART III: THE POLITICS OF ECONOMIC REFORM 5 What Was Shock Therapy? and Building a Market Economy in Poland 14 February 2025 n/a Reading Week: No Seminar 21 February 2025 First Essay Questions Released 24 February 2025 at 10 am First Essay Due 27 February 2025 at 3 pm 6 Building a Market Economy in Russia and Ukraine 28 February 2025 7 What Was Privatization? 7 March 2025 PART IV: POST-COMMUNIST CORRUPTION 8 Corruption and the Post-Communist Economy 14 March 2025 9 Reassessing the Post-Communist Transition 21 March 2025 PART V: THE INTERNATIONAL ARENA 10 Globalisation and the Post-Communist State: Opportunity or Constraint? 28 March 2025 Second Essay Questions Released 31 March 2025 at 10 am Second Essay Due 3 April 2025 at 3 pm Preparation Each week will specify a number of set readings that will be available through KEATS. This is a “Level 7” module designed for postgraduate students. These readings are compulsory. The reading for each week, as totalled for each session below, is approximately 100 pages. If you are finding it challenging to complete the readings for each class, please speak to the lecturer for suggestions and advice. There are ways to get through the reading faster. Whilst reading, you should make notes about how each text fits into (1) that week’s theme and (2) the wider questions we are asking. You should come to the seminar having things to say about the texts you have read. Additional Reading List There is an additional reading list, available on KEATS, should you want to read further about a particular week’s topic for another module, a particular writing project such as a dissertation, etc. None of the readings on this list are compulsory for this module. 4 Assessments The assessments for this course consist of class participation (including presentations) and two essays. There are no final exams. Class Presentations Each week, starting with Session #1, some 4 to 6 students will be selected to make brief presentations (3 to 5 minutes) in the following week’s class seminar session with each student required to make two such presentations total throughout the course of the semester. It is each student’s responsibility to keep track and to ensure that she or he makes two presentations during the course of the semester. To prepare for each presentation, each student will be required to write a short reaction paper to the week’s assigned readings (of some 350 to 450 words), which they can read or summarise in class. The short paper can be an evaluation, comparison or contrast of the arguments behind two or more of the week’s readings or could be an attempt to answer, with references to at least two of the week’s readings, one of the questions posed in the brief introduction to each week’s session listed below in this syllabus. The short paper should be aimed at sparking a discussion in class and must be submitted via email to Dr Berenson by midnight Thursday (the night before the Friday weekly seminar session in which the presentation will be made). Class participation marks will be determined based on these presentations and on the level of engagement in general class discussion throughout the semester. Two Essays Twice a semester, students will be given a three-day window during which they will have access to the essay questions and must write an essay to answer one of these questions that is no more than 1,500 words in length. Students will receive at least two short essay questions with the requirement that they provide an answer to one of them. In writing the short essay, students are encouraged to provide as precise, full and complete answers as possible, and where possible, include the name(s) of relevant author(s). Internet Sources Keeping Up with the News! It is required that you keep up with what is going on currently, preferably reading at least 3-5 articles a week on the governance and economies of Central and Eastern Europe and Russia. Not only will this benefit your own understanding about the region, but our in-class discussions will be better informed—as well as livelier! The following sources, while not exhaustive, provide good coverage of Central and Eastern Europe and Russia today: • The Atlantic Council (www.atlanticcouncil.org) • BBC News (www.bbcnews.com) • The Economist (www.economist.com) • The Financial Times (www.ft.com) • The Kyiv Independent (www.kyivindependent.com) • The Kyiv Post (www.kyivpost.com) • The Moscow Times (www.themoscowtimes.com) • The New York Times (www.nytimes.com) • Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (www.rferl.org) 5 • Russia Profile (http://www.russiaprofile.org) • Russian Analytical Digest (http://www.res.ethz.ch/analysis/rad/) • Warsaw Business Journal (http://www.wbj.pl) • The Warsaw Voice (http://www.warsawvoice.pl) Research Seminars Please attend as many of the King’s Russia Institute Research Seminars (on Monday evenings usually) as you can. The timetable can be found online. They feature world-class academics talking about their research. Details also can be found on the King’s Russia Institute website – www.kcl.ac.uk/russiainstitute. Communication In addition to logging in regularly to KEATS, it is vitally important that you maintain and access regularly your King’s email (@kcl.ac.uk). Updates, announcements, appointments and any other changes to the module will be announced via KEATS and/or e-mails sent to @kcl.ac.uk addresses. PART I: ECONOMIC ORIGINS OF DEMOCRACY Session #1: Economic Origins of Democracy I: Introduction. Does Wealth Lead to Democracy? The Economic Development as a Prerequisite for Democracy Argument 17 January 2025 That democracy is a product of economic development is a popular and widely debated hypothesis in comparative politics. Similarly, a second prevalent and much argued theory is that democratization can only occur when certain social factors—educational, religious, class or otherwise—are met. These first two sessions will be devoted to exploring these twin hypotheses—what they are, how they have been developed, what are their different nuances as well as whether and to what extent they are applicable to the existing democracies around the globe. In short, these sessions are devoted to the arguments for and against the existence of economic and social pre-conditions for democracy. We will begin our first session with examining the main logic behind the economic prerequisite for democracy hypothesis. Does capitalist development, specifically, have to be the form of economic development taken prior to democratization? Has the relationship between capitalism and democracy varied greatly through time and space? And, what are your initial thoughts: Is Russia an exception or a classic example as to whether increased wealth leads to democracy? Criticizing the Economic Development-Democracy Connection: Here we will examine the main criticisms of the Economic Development-Democracy link. Namely, arguments that seek to weaken this connection, suggesting instead that other factors such as the timing of entering the market economy and the nature of the product (production) cycle matter as well. Further considered here also will be those arguments made by the Dependency School theorists and by those concerned with growing equality. On balance, do you find these 6 hypotheses from Session #1 or their criticisms, presented in this presentation, more persuasive, and why? One of the criticisms of the economic development route to democratization has been that— rather than focus on economic development—other social, religious and/or cultural aspects arguably do indeed matter for both democratization and the consolidation of democracy. Indeed, more pointedly, the role of culture—very much tied to religion and other attributes that are unique from one society to the next—has been explored in terms of its relationship to democracy through a discussion on what specific aspects of a civic culture are important for democracy-building. Are there really any preconditions for successful, consolidated democracy? If so, what are they? And, is democratization limited to certain parts of the globe due to the inherent nature of certain religions, social class structures, educational development or other specific social factors? Considering the case of Russia today, are there any socio-economic preconditions (such as social class structures, educational development and/or economic development) that Russia lacks for a successful, consolidated democracy? If so, what policies could be developed to address them? Also, considering Russia today, with its ethnic and religious diversity, are there any factors that Russia lacks for a successful, consolidated democracy? If so, what policies could be developed to address those as well? Is diversity good, bad or indifferent for Russia’s economic growth? Set Reading Larry Diamond, “Chapter 2: Why Democracies Succeed and Fail” and “Chapter 3: The March and Retreat of Democracy,” Ill Winds: Saving Democracy From Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency, (New York: Penguin Press, 2019), pp. 15-58. Wojtek Grojec and Carlos Coelho, “How Autocracy Is Trending Again,” RFE/RL, Interactive web page,
again/29449280.html?itflags=mailer>, 23 August 2018. Matthew Hamilton, What Is Bretton Woods? The Contested Pasts and Potential Futures of International Economic Order, (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, October 2024), pp. 1-16. Philip Hanson, “Stagnation in Russia Is Raising Geopolitical Risks,” Chatham House Expert Perspectives 2018, June 19, 2018, pp. 1-4. Andrei Kolesnikov, “Why Government Economists Are Getting Nervous in Russia,” Carnegie Moscow Center, 10 July 2019, p. 1-2. Cynthia McClintock, “Lipset’s Legacy,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 16, No. 2 (April 2005), pp. 163-166. Alexandra Prokopenko, “Russia’s Economic Gamble: The Hidden Costs of War Driven Growth,” Commentary, Carnegie Politika, 20 December 2024, available at < https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2024/12/russia-economy- 7 difficulties?lang=en&utm_source=carnegieemail&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=aut oemail> Adam Przeworski, Michael E. Alvarez, José Antonio Cheibub and Fernando Limongi, “What Makes Democracies Endure?” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 7, No. 1 (January 1996), pp. 39-55. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 95. Bonus Reading: ‘“We Will Continue to Stagnate, Nothing Will Change” Highlights from An Interview with Economist Konstantin Sonin,’ The Bell, 10 February 2020. Session #2: Economic Origins of Democracy II: Do Political Regimes Matter? How Democracy Might Affect Growth 24 January 2025 Over time, views on the relationship between regime type and economic development have changed dramatically. In the 1960s and 1970s, democracy and economic growth were often considered as being in competition with one another. More recently, authors often have come to more to view a more constructive link between the two. We will examine all sides of the debate as to whether democracies, or authoritarian regime types, are better at producing economic growth. Democracy, for some, is alleged to be good for economic growth because of the legitimacy it provides to some governments to implement and sustain policies that may have high short- term costs; because various democratic institutions, such as an independent legal system, are required for a successful economic liberalisation; and because democratisation may limit rent-seeking due to its system of checks and balances. Meanwhile, others have contested that democracy may lead to policies that hamper economic growth and may be impinged by the excessive influence of interest groups that may reduce the flexibility of the economy. Indeed, some have argued that an authoritarian regime may be good for economic growth as only it is in a position to introduce unpopular measures. Some of these linkages, however, may only be valid depending upon what is the prior level of economic development. And, we will be examining what statistical relationships do exist between regime type and economic growth to support or dismiss these arguments. Considering the cases in Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union today, should increased democratization be used as a tool for economic growth? If so or if not, what public policies should be considered? Set Reading Harley Balzer, “Will Russia Waste Another Crisis? The 2014-15 Economic Downturn and the Prospects for Russian Economic Reform,” in Richard Sakwa, Mark Galeotti and Harley Balzer, Putin’s Third Term: Assessments Amid Crisis, (Washington, DC: Center on Global Interests, 2015), pp. 29-46. 8 Yegor Gaidar, “Chapter 8: Particular Features of Russia’s Economic Development,” Russia: A Long View, (Cambridge, MA: M.I.T. Press, 2012), pp. 145-180. Sergei Guriev, “How Transitional Institutions Could Transform Russia’s Economy,” Carnegie Moscow Center, 21 November 2017, pp. 1-3. Andrew Janos, “What Was Communism? A Retrospective in Comparative Analysis,” Communist and Post-Communist Studies, Vol. 29, No. 1 (2006), pp. 1-24. Adam Przeworski and Fernando Limongi, “Political Regimes and Economic Growth,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 7, No. 3 (Summer 1993), pp. 51-69. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 99. PART II: THE DIFFICULT DUAL TRANSITION Session #3: The Difficult Dual Transition I: What was State Socialism? What was the Soviet Union? Why did State Socialism and the Soviet Union Collapse? 31 January 2025 This session will examine both the collapse of communism and the end of the Soviet regime as well as will consider the political and economic consequences of these twin events. As part of the discussion, we will consider whether it was possible to reform the Soviet system (see, for example, the piece from Timothy Colton below) and whether the emergence of new political institutions was necessary. Most critical and helpful here in delineating specifically what was the Soviet system of economy and governance is the work of Janos Kornai. What lessons are there from the Soviet collapse for post-Soviet economic growth? Was 1991 just a management crisis? Or were other economic factors at play, and if so, what is their relevance for future growth? In short, was downfall of state socialism and the Soviet Union related simply to a political problem or an economic one? Set Reading Leon Aron, “Everything You Think You Know about the Collapse of the Soviet Union is Wrong,” Foreign Policy, No. (187), July-August 2011, pp. 64-70. Janos Kornai, The Socialist System: The Political Economy of Communism, (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1992.) See especially Chapter 5: “Property,” pp. 62-90. Very much worth examining are Chapter 3: “Power,” pp. 33-48; Chapter 4: “Ideology,” pp. 49-61; and Chapter 7: “Planning and Direct Bureaucratic Control,” pp. 110-130. Maria Snegovaya, “Why Russia’s Democracy Never Began,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 34, No. 3 (July 2023), pp. 105-118. Steven L. Solnick, “The Breakdown of Hierarchies in the Soviet Union and China: A Neoinstitutional Perspective,” World Politics, Vol. 48, No. 2 (January 1996), pp. 209–238. 9 Daniel Treisman, “Democracy by Mistake,” National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper Series, No. 23944 (October 2017), pp. 1-32. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 107. Bonus Reading: Roman Bäcker, “Contemporary Russia: Authoritarian or Totalitarian?” Warsaw East European Review, Vol. VII (2017), pp. 53-60. Session #4: The Difficult Dual Transition II: What Accounts for the Diversity in Post- Communist Outcomes? 7 February 2025 What accounts for the diversity in post-communist outcomes and what does that mean for future pathways of economic development? This session allows us to return to the themes of Session #2 regarding the connection between regime type and economic growth by focusing on the specific and various outcomes that have emerged, politically and economically, across the post-communist world. Does regime type predict economic growth? Is it history, culture, structure, institutional design, regime type or legacy that most accounts for variation in economic growth outcomes? Or is it none of these? Does geography or natural resources matter more? What specifically allows for economic reforms to be continued or stalled? And, what lessons can be taken for country cases where the reforms were stalled for a while? Set Reading Anders Åslund and Simeon Djankov, “Introduction,” in Anders Åslund and Simeon Djankov, ed., The Great Rebirth: Lessons from the Victory of Capitalism over Communism, (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2014), pp. 1-16. Marc P. Berenson, “Chapter 1: From a Coercive to a Modern Tax State,” Taxes and Trust: From Coercion to Compliance in Poland, Russia and Ukraine, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2018), pp. 1-11. Joel S. Hellman, “Winners Take All: The Politics of Partial Reform in Postcommunist Transitions,” World Politics, Vol. 50, No. 2 (January 1998), pp. 203-234. Alexander Libman and Anastassia V. Obydenkova, “Chapter 5: Democracy,” Historical Legacies of Communism: Modern Politics, Society, and Economic Development, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2021), pp. 100-137. Grigore Pop-Eleches, "Historical Legacies and Post-Communist Regime Change," Journal of Politics, Vol. 69, No. 4 (November 2007), pp. 908-926. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 114. 10 PART III: THE POLITICS OF ECONOMIC REFORM Session #5: The Politics of Economic Reform I: What Was Shock Therapy and Building a Market Economy in Poland & First In-Class Test 14 February 2025 In the early 1990s, the countries across Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union were faced with the difficult task of undertaking massive economic reforms and restructuring their entire economic system. Many chose either shock therapy or gradualist policies or both. Poland, which began the transition with the Balcerowicz plan, has been widely regarded as a test-case for “shock therapy.” But, what really was “shock therapy”? And, was “shock therapy” ever truly adopted in Poland? Set Reading Leszek Balcerowicz, “Poland: Stabilization and Reforms under Extraordinary and Normal Politics,” in Åslund, Anders and Simeon Djankov, ed., The Great Rebirth: Lessons from the Victory of Capitalism over Communism, (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2014), pp. 17-38. Timothy Frye, “Chapter 9: Poland: Robust Democracy and Rapid Reform,” in Frye, Timothy, Building States and Markets After Communism: The Perils of Polarized Democracy, (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010), pp. 213-228. Peter Murrell, “What is Shock Therapy? What Did It Do in Poland and Russia?” Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol. 9, No. 2 (April – June 1993), p. 111-140. Adam Przeworski, “The Neo-Liberal Fallacy,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 3, No. 3 (July 1992), p. 45-57. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 77. Reading Week: No Seminar 21 February 2025 Session #6: The Politics of Economic Reform II: Building a Market Economy in Russia and Ukraine 28 February 2025 Russia and Ukraine, like other post-communist countries, had to build a market economy while undertaking a dual, simultaneous transition, one coupling political and economic reforms together. In addition, Russia embarked on an additional transition from the Soviet Empire to the Russian state. Hence, Russia in the 1990s endured a unique “triple transition” from a communist regime to a democratic one, from a socialist economic system to a capitalist one and the rebirth of a nation-state after the collapse of the Soviet Empire. So, how did all of this specifically impact upon efforts to build a market economy? Was “shock 11 therapy” ever truly adopted in Russia? Should institutions have been built before economic reforms are embarked? If so, how “perfectly designed” must they first be? Was that possible in the Russian case? And, what does that matter for Russia today? Set Reading Anders Åslund, “Chapter 1: Introduction: Ukraine on the Precipice,” and “Chapter 2: Why Ukraine Can and Should Opt for Radical Reforms Now,” Ukraine: What Went Wrong and How to Fix It, (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2015), pp. 3-36. Dmitri Glinski and Peter Reddaway, “What Went Wrong in Russia? The Ravages of `Market Bolshevism,’” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 10, No. 2 (April 1999), p. 19-34. Vladimir Popov, “Chapter 5: Transformational Recession,” in Michael Alexeev and Shlomo Weber, eds., The Oxford Handbook of the Russian Economy, (Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 2013), pp. 102-131. Cynthia Roberts and Thomas Sherlock, “Review Article: Bringing the Russian State Back In: Explanations of the Derailed Transition to Market Democracy,” Comparative Politics, July 1999, pp. 477-498. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 98 Bonus Reading: Verena Fritz, “Chapter 8: The Second Transition in Ukraine,” State-Building: A Comparative Study of Ukraine, Lithuania, Belarus, and Russia, (Budapest: Central European Press, 2007), pp. 175-209. Session #7: The Politics of Economic Reform III: What was Privatization? 7 March 2025 The creation (and protection) of private property in Russia as well as elsewhere in the post- communist region provides the engine on which a market economy can run. But, what exactly is privatization? How effective was it in Poland, Russia, Ukraine and the region more broadly? What alternatives were there? What other varieties of privatization plans were out there at the time? Did Poland choose the best? Did Russia choose the best—or the worst plan? What was the role of the West in all of this at the time? What does privatization mean for seeking state income? Was the rise of the Oligarchs necessary? Did their rise emerge from privatization or simply from the manner in which privatization was practiced in Russia? What legacies endure from the 1990s privatizations today? How long will the 1990s privatizations matter for Russia’s and the region’s economic future? Set Reading Nini Arshakuni and Natasha Yefimova-Trilling, “What Is the State’s Share in Russia’s Economy?” Russsia Matters, 26 June 2019, pp. 1-7. Joseph R. Blasi, Maya Kroumova and Douglas Kruse, Kremlin Capitalism: Privatizing the Russian Economy, (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1997), p. 13-49. 12 Patrick Hamm, Lawrence P. King, and David Stuckler, “Mass Privatization, State Capacity and Economic Growth in Post-Communist Countries,” American Sociological Review, Vol. 77, No. 2, (2012), pp. 295-324. Branko Milanovic, "For Whom The Wall Fell? A Balance Sheet of the Transition to Capitalism," The Globalist (7 November 2014), pp. 1-4. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 76. PART IV: POST-COMMUNIST CORRUPTION Session #8: Post-Communist Corruption I: Corruption and the Post-Communist Economy 14 March 2025 The reasons for corruption in Russia may well be over-determined. Given the legacies of tsarist and Soviet rule, federalism (both ethnic and fiscal federalism as well as market- distorting federalism), and the politics of recentralization through the rise of the “power vertical” and associated principal-agent problems, disentangling the why’s and how’s of corruption as well as its full impact on the prospects of economic growth may not be fully possible. That said, though, is corruption and/or organized crime largely a product of prior practices, regime-type, history, legacy or culture? How can its influence on the economy be eliminated or reduced? How does corruption in Russia compare with that in Poland or elsewhere in Central and Eastern Europe? Can we disaggregate corruption between organized crime, administrative barriers, petty bureaucratic corruption, graft and/or top-led coercive governance practices? Is graft simply a part of bureaucratic control? And, is corruption just one “cost” of doing business in Russia? Or does corruption magnify distrust in the state such that it can no longer administer or regulate the market economy effectively? Is corruption solvable? Can it be reduced by the regime from within? Or would / can trying to solve corruption lead to the regime’s demise, suggesting that the Kremlin should avoid undertaking any such endeavours? Set Reading Anders Åslund, “Chapter 1: The Origins of Putin’s Economic Model,” Russia’s Crony Capitalism: The Path from Market Economy to Kleptocracy, (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2019), pp. 12-37. Marc P. Berenson, “Chapter 2: Trust and Post-Communist Policy Implementation,” Taxes and Trust: From Coercion to Compliance in Poland, Russia and Ukraine, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2018), pp. 12-55. Stanislav Markus, “Russia’s Oligarchs,” in Susanne A. Wengle, ed., Russian Politics Today: Stability and Fragility, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2022), pp. 270-292. Vadim Volkov, “Violent Entrepreneurship in Post-Communist Russia,” Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 51, No. 5 (July 1999), pp. 741-754. 13 Approx. Total Number of Pages: 103. Riveting Bonus Reading: Karen Dawisha, “Chapter 6: The Founding of the Putin System: His First Hundred Days and Their Consequences, May-August 2000,” Putin’s Kleptocracy: Who Owns Russia?, (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2014), pp. 266-312. Session #9: Post-Communist Corruption II: Reassessing the Post-Communist Transition 21 March 2025 This session will provide for a reassessment of the post-communist economic transition as a whole, enabling students to engage with recent reflections by scholars on the reforms that shaped the 1990s, who benefited from them, who was left behind, and whether the transition as a whole can or should be deemed a success or not. In addition, this session also will seek to provide a more nuanced view as to whether and how the natural resource economy, centred on oil and gas exports, will continue to drive Russia’s future economic growth. Will the oil growth endure? Will Russia’s economic fortunes always follow that of the price of oil? What are the perils of relying on an oil-based economy? Beyond the usual arguments, what is Russia doing right and what is Russia doing wrong with respect to managing its oil/natural resource economy? What hope or promises are there for further diversification of the economy? Set Reading Hilary Appel and Mitchell A. Orenstein, “Why did Neoliberalism Triumph and Endure in the Post-Communist World?” Comparative Politics, Vol. 48, No. 3 (April 2016), pp. 313-331. Kristen Ghodsee and Mitchell A. Orenstein, “Introduction: Transition from Communism – Qualified Success or Utter Catastrophe?” and “Conclusion: Toward an Inclusive Prosperity,” in Kristen Ghodsee and Mitchell A. Orenstein, Taking Stock of Shock: Social Consequences of the 1989 Revolutions, (New York: Oxford University Press, 2021), pp. 1-17, 183-205. Ivan Krastev and Stephen Holmes, “Imitation and Its Discontents,” in Ivan Krastev and Stephen Holmes, The Light That Failed: A Reckoning, (London: Allen Lane, 2019), pp. 1-18. Mikhail Strokan and Rudra Sil, “Russia’s Oil and Gas Industry: Soviet Inheritance and Post- Soviet Evolution,” in Susanne A. Wengle, ed., Russian Politics Today: Stability and Fragility, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2022), pp. 247-269. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 100. 14 PART V: THE INTERNATIONAL ARENA Session #10: Globalisation and the Post-Communist State: Opportunity or Constraint? 28 March 2025 In many ways, most of the evidence—and theories—regarding the linkages between democracy and economic development were formulated in the years prior to the 1990s, when, in many ways, a new round of globalization began. So, today, the world is globalizing. Yes, that’s true, but is it new? And, is it a good thing? Or is it simply inevitable? Who wins and who loses? Does Globalization mean the demise of the nation-state, or at least as we know think of it? Or does Globalization bring yet another new realm, or sphere, by which difficult collective action problems, including the global economy, can now be solved? Where will the process of Globalization lead? This session will focus on two parts: First, the long trajectory of Globalization, which began more or less in the ‘90s—that is the 1890s!—with the rise of international trade and haute finance will be explored, as it has set the basis for current patterns of international trade, finance, activity and cooperation. Second, today’s globalized world has been accompanied by a set of new transnational actors, international NGOs, calls for a global “civil society” and arenas for inter-state cooperation, the emergence of which we will explore with respect to the opportunities and limitations they present for resolving collective action problems and other dilemmas related to governance and economic development. And, all of this will be explored from the perspective of Russia and Central and Eastern Europe. Is Globalization a good or a bad thing for Russia and/or Central and Eastern Europe today? Or is it simply inevitable? How does Globalization help or hurt Russia today? What public policies should be considered in post-communist Europe in order to take advantage of Globalization? Set Reading Christine Abely, “Chapter 11: Assessing the Sanctions” and “Conclusion,” in Christine Abely, The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2023), pp. 111-121. Laszlo Bruszt and Bela Greskovits, “Transnationalization, Social Integration, and Capitalist Diversity in the East and the South,” Studies in Comparative International Development, Vol. 44 (2009), pp. 411–434. Harold James, “Conclusion: The Next Great Globalization,” in Harold James, Seven Crashes: The Economic Crises That Shaped Globalization, (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2023), pp. 307-315. Bobo Lo, “Chapter 3: Russia and Global Governance,” Russia and the New World Disorder, (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2015), pp. 71-99. Bilyana Petrova & Aleksandra Sznajder Lee, “Integrating with the Global Economy: The Evolution of the Export Profiles of the European Union’s Eastern Periphery (2000–2021),” Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 76, No. 5 (2024), pp. 696-719. 15 Marc F. Plattner, “Exploring Globalization,” (Review of Thomas L. Friedman’s The Lexus and the Olive Tree), Journal of Democracy, Vol. 10, No. 4 (October 1999), pp. 166-171. Approx. Total Number of Pages: 102. Riveting Bonus Reading: Andrei P. Tsygankov, “Globalization: A Russian Perspective,” in Arlene B. Tickner and David L. Blaney, eds., Thinking International Relations Differently, (London: Routledge, 2012), pp. 205-227. 16 Assessment Information Note: please refer to the Student Handbook online for all details regarding the programme. Please note: • The Institute employs double blind marking. All work is therefore anonymous and two members of staff mark final essays for each course. The two staff members then meet to agree on the mark. • All written work is subject to the final approval of our External Examiners, so the mark given to your work is not necessarily final. Once it is ratified at the Assessment Board of Examiners, it becomes final. For further details please refer to Student Handbook online. Word Limit Policy An electronic word count should be noted on the front of all pieces of coursework in the coversheet. This word count includes: • The main text of the essay • All footnotes/endnotes • All quotations (whether in the main text, or in the foot-/endnotes) • All references (whether in the main text, or in the foot-/endnotes) The word count does not include: • Title • Abstract • Bibliography • Any text that forms part of any graphs or illustrations Penalties for exceeding word limits There is a 5% tolerance - no penalty is incurred for up to 5 % over the word limit. Thereafter, 2 marks will normally be deducted for every 5%, until 50% is reached. After 50%, 3 marks will normally be deducted from each additional 5%. There is no penalty for candidates whose work falls short of the prescribed limits. Such work will be marked in accordance with the usual academic criteria. Nevertheless, bear in mind that the word limit is set such as to offer guidance on the space in which a question can be fully and successfully answered. Submission procedures All pieces of written work must be submitted electronically via KEATS (using the link on the relevant module area – see below). In addition: • All assessed essays must use proper referencing of all sources, to meet College rules on plagiarism. You should use a scholarly system of referencing (e.g. Harvard or Chicago) fully consistently. If you are not familiar from your undergraduate work with how to use such systems, please contact your personal tutor or see the guide below. Electronic submission of essays Log in to KEATS and navigate to the folder for the relevant module. In the folder click on the Turnitin icon. Make sure that what you upload is the FINAL VERSION of your essay WITH THE COVERSHEET, as you will not have the opportunity to change this later. The file electronically submitted at the time of the deadline will be taken as the final and complete submitted work, and no amendments or additions will be permitted after the submission deadline. Please note that you should submit your work in one of the following formats: Microsoft Word or Adobe PDF and the maximum file size is 20MB. You will receive a unique number when you submit your work, which you should make a note of. You are responsible for ensuring that submitted electronic files are submitted in one of the specified acceptable file formats, and not corrupted. Please check files on the system after submission to ensure they are valid and correct. 17 What if I experience technical problems? • Technical failure, including of a computer, browser or internet connection, is not a valid reason for late submission of work, unless it can be shown to have been as a result of a failure of the College’s IT systems, and that there was no reasonable course of action you could have taken to submit the work on time. • If the online submission system is down, contact your department office immediately. If we confirm that there has been a technical failure, we will notify all candidates by email, and extend the submission window until 24 hours after we have notified you (by email) that the problem has been rectified. CHECKLIST FOR SUBMISSION • Essays should be typed or word-processed, double-spaced and on one side only of A4 paper. • Please number the pages continuously. • You are required to upload the coursework to KEATS. • You are required to complete a Cover Sheet for each essay on which you should enter your Candidate Number (available from the Examinations Office), word count, the essay and course title. • Please DO NOT put your name on any piece of written work. • Adhere to the word limit, with an electronic count noted on the cover page. • Have a bibliography/list of works cited. • Have a consistent system of references for quotations and paraphrases. • Abide by the current regulations regarding plagiarism. To repeat, when you submit your essays, you need to submit an electronic copy. Late submissions You must ensure that written work is completed by the deadlines set. Work submitted up to 24 hours late will be marked, but capped at the pass mark rather than receive a result of 0. Work submitted any later will receive a mark of zero and will be deemed to have failed. If you are unable to meet the deadline for submission of written work through illness or a serious personal problem, please follow the Mitigating Circumstances procedures. Please note that computer failure will not be considered adequate grounds for an extension. If you are word- processing your work you should be sure to take adequate backups and to print out a copy in good time. Mitigating circumstances From time to time, unforeseen circumstances, outside a student’s control, can have a significant detrimental effect on his/her performance. These are called Mitigating Circumstances. Extensions requests - if you are unable to meet a deadline for the submission of written work, you should use the form available online (Extension Request Form) or to request an extension to a deadline as soon as you become aware that you will be unable to meet the original published deadline. You can submit the form, along with appropriate documentary evidence, any time before the deadline. Please note that work submitted late will only receive a mark if the mitigating circumstances are considered acceptable. If your mitigating circumstances are considered unacceptable your coursework will be deemed late and will receive a mark of zero as per College policy. Completed forms must be submitted to the Institute Administrator in K0.50 King’s Building. Further information - further guidance on Mitigating Circumstances, including what does and does not constitute Mitigating Circumstances, can be found here or . 18 References Students are strongly recommended to use the MHRA style book (you can download this for free at http://www.mhra.org.uk/Publications/Books/StyleGuide/download.shtml , or The Chicago Manual of Style, for guidance. You will find hard copies of these in the Maughan Library. For all academic assignments it is vital that you acknowledge the sources of information you have used for your research. This will help you protect yourself against charges of plagiarism and also demonstrate that you understand the importance of professional academic work. You must acknowledge your sources whenever you paraphrase or summarise another person's ideas, or when you quote another person's work, or use tables, graphs, images, etc. which you have found from another source, whether printed or online. This guide explains how this is done in the MHRA (Modern Humanities Research Association) Style. Introducing the MHRA style Whenever you refer to another’s words or ideas in your work, insert a footnote number in your text. When referring to the publication for the first time, give full bibliographic details in the footnote. Subsequent references can then be provided in an abbreviated form. Example References should be given for ‘all direct or indirect quotations, and in acknowledgement of someone’s opinions, or of a source of factual information which is not general knowledge’.1 Li and Crane point out that the main objective of citing references is to give sufficient information to allow sources to be located.2 Additionally, ‘another important principle is to make reference to that information in the source in hand. As a rule, it is not necessary to provide supplementary information that has to be located elsewhere’.3 General overviews of the process of citing references are given by Bosworth and Craig and in Walliman.4 ______________________ 1 Nicholas S.R. Walliman, Your Research Project: A Step-by-step Guide for the First-time Researcher (London: SAGE, 2001), p. 301. 2 Xia Li and Nancy B. Crane, Electronic Styles: A Handbook for Citing Electronic Information, 2nd edn (Medford, NJ: Information Today, 1996), p. 3. 3 Ibid., p. 3. 4 David P. Bosworth, Citing Your References: A Guide for Authors of Journal Articles and Students Writing Theses or Dissertations (Thirsk, N Yorks: Underhill Press, 1992); P. Craig, ‘How to Cite’, Documentation Studies, 10 (2003), 114-122; Walliman, pp. 300-313. Inserting footnotes Wherever possible, place numbers at the end of the sentence, after the full stop. Be consistent in your approach and use continuous numbering throughout the text, starting at number one. For theses, restart the numbering at the beginning of each chapter. When you refer to several sources close together in the same paragraph, use one footnote number and enter a reference for each source, separated by a semi-colon. To insert footnotes in Microsoft Word, position the cursor in the text where you wish the number to be placed. On the menu bar, select Insert – Reference – Footnote. In the dialogue box which opens, click on Insert to add a footnote. Directly quoting from your sources You should aim to paraphrase information provided by an author in your own words rather than quote large amounts of their work verbatim as this helps to demonstrate to the reader your understanding of the information. It may be necessary to quote directly from the text when you: • cannot present the information more succinctly or in any other way • need to present a particular portion of an author’s text in your work to analyse it. If the quotation is short (fewer than 40 words of prose or 2 complete lines of verse), enclose the writer’s words in single quotation marks within your sentence and insert a footnote number: Mackintosh’s Glasgow School of Art ‘heralded the birth of a new style in 20th century European Architecture’.1 Longer quotations should be separated from the body of your text and indented from the left-hand margin. There is no need to include quotation marks: 19 Bernard outlines his design ethos: Mackintosh’s firm belief that construction should be decorated and not decoration constructed, in other words that the salient and most requisite features should be selected for ornamentation, he applied with great rhythm and inventiveness, especially in those projects, such as the Glasgow School of Art and Scotland Street School, where budgets were severely limited. 2 This theme is taken further by Macleod.3 If you omit some words from the middle of the quotation, you need to indicate this by typing three dots in square brackets, e.g. ‘The state has an essential role […] in the legal definition of property rights’.4 If you are omitting lines of verse, write […] on a separate line. Referencing sources for the first time When referencing a source for the first time in your piece of work, provide full bibliographic details in the footnote: • Write the author’s name(s) as it appears on the text: put the author’s forename(s) or initials first, followed by their surname. If there are more than three authors, write the first author’s name followed by ‘and others’. • Italicise the titles of books and journals. • Capitalise the first letter of all principal words throughout the title and after the colon, if there is a subtitle. • Include the specific page number(s) referenced at the end by writing p. or pp. followed by the page number(s). • Write references for online publications using the format for printed publications as far as possible, adding the and the [accessed date]. • Indent the second and subsequent line of each reference. Book Robert Abel, The Eye Care Revolution: Prevent and Reverse Common Vision Problems (New York: Kensington Books, 2004), p. 10. Journal article Lawrence Ang and Ben Taylor, ‘Managing Customer Profitability Using Portfolio Matrices’, Journal of Database Marketing and Customer Strategy Management, 12 (2005), 298-304 (p. 300). Chapter in an edited book Tadao Ando, ‘Towards New Horizons in Architecture’, in Theorizing a New Agenda for Architecture, ed. by Kate Nesbitt (New York: Princeton Architectural Press, 1996), pp. 462-530 (p.473). Newspaper article Bertrand Benoit, ‘G8 Faces Impasse on Global Warming’, Financial Times, 29 May 2007, p. 9. PhD Thesis Alun R.J. Withey, ‘Medical Knowledge and Practice in Early Modern Wales’ (unpublished doctoral thesis, Cardiff University, 2006), p. 17. Electronic journal article Anwar T. Merchant and others, ‘Diet, Physical Activity, and Adiposity in Children in Poor and Rich Neighbourhoods: A Crosssectional Comparison’, Nutrition Journal, 6 (2007) http://www.nutritionj.com/content/pdf/1475-2891-6-1.pdf [accessed 10 May 2007] (p. 1). Web page Christel Lane and others, The Future of Professionalised Work: UK and Germany Compared (London: Anglo- German Foundation for the Study of Industrial Society, 2003) [accessed 12 December 2007] (p. 11). Sound recording 20 Jean Sibelius, Symphony No.1 Op.39 in E Minor: The Oceanides. City of Birmingham Symphony Orchestra. Cond. Simon Rattle, CD, EMI CDM 7 64119 2 (1991). Images, figures and tables Fig. 1. List of housing performance indicators for multi-family residential buildings.1 Further references to the same source If you reference the same source more than once in a particular piece of work, abbreviate the second and subsequent references by providing only the author and page numbers. Use the abbreviation Ibid. (meaning in the same place) to refer to a reference immediately above: 1 William J.R. Curtis, Modern Architecture since 1900, 3rd edn (London: Phaidon, 1996), pp. 124-32. 2 Ibid., p. 133. 3 James Stevens Curl, A Dictionary of Architecture and Landscape Architecture, 2nd edn (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006), p. 1. 4 Curtis, pp. 56-78. Bibliography At the end of your work, list each of the sources you have referenced, and any other works you have read in relation to the subject, in a bibliography. Write the list in alphabetical order by the first author’s surname, placing their surname before their forename(s) or initial(s). There is no need to include the specific page reference in a bibliography, but page ranges for edited book chapters and journal articles are required. You should also exclude the full stop at the end of the reference: Borden, Iain, and Katerina Ruedi, The Dissertation: An Architecture Student’s Handbook, 5th edn (Oxford: Butterworth-Heinemann, 2006) Craig, P., ‘How to Cite’, Documentation Studies, 10 (2003), 114-122 Stott, Rebecca, Anna Snaith and Rick Rylance, Making Your Case: A Practical Guide to Essay Writing (Harlow: Longman, 2001) Publication dates and editions To find out when a book was published, look at the back of the title page. This page will contain details of the publisher and the publication date. If there is more than one date, use the latest publication date, not the latest reprint date. This is often located next to the © symbol. If no publication date is given in the book but it can be ascertained, put the year in square brackets e.g. [1989]. If no year can be determined write [n.d.], meaning no date. The back of the title page will also tell you the edition of the book. If the book you are acknowledging is not the first edition, state this in the full reference in your footnote and bibliography e.g: Alan Everett, Materials, 5th edn (Harlow: Longman, 1994), pp. 102-24. Plagiarism Plagiarism is a serious academic offence and will not be tolerated by King’s Russia Institute. All work submitted, as part of the requirements for any examination or assessment of the College or of the University of London must be expressed in your own words and incorporate your own ideas and judgements. Plagiarism is the presentation of another persons’ thoughts, words, judgements, ideas, etc., as your own. Direct quotations from the published or unpublished work of others, including work published electronically, must always be identified as such by being placed inside quotation marks (if less than four lines long) or receiving a block quotation (if more than four lines long), and a full reference to their source must be provided in the proper form. A series of short quotations from several different sources, if not clearly identified as such, constitutes plagiarism just as much as does a single unacknowledged long quotation from a single source. Equally, if you paraphrase another person’s ideas or judgements, you must refer to that person in your text, and include the work referred to in your bibliography. An allegation of plagiarism can result in action being taken under the Regulations Governing Examination and Assessment Offences. It is a reasonable working assumption that work for which plagiarism is proved will be awarded a mark of zero. As well, a proven allegation of plagiarism can result in a range of other penalties depending on the seriousness of the case. You should therefore consult the Programme Co-ordinator if you are in any doubt about what is permissible. 21 Taught Postgraduate Generic Marking Criteria The College marking criteria set out below should be read in conjunction with discipline-specific criteria as appropriate and should be viewed as a starting point. The College marking criteria provides guidance on the overall standards expected at different grade bands but discipline-specific criteria may be needed in order to ensure that marking decisions are consistent, fair and transparent to both staff and students. Level 7 An exceptional answer that reflects outstanding knowledge of material and critical ability ~ Distinction ≥ 70 Understanding Depth of knowledge Structure General Advanced, in-depth, authoritative, full understanding of key issues with evidence of originality Complex work, key issues analysed, wide range of sources used selectively to support argument/discussion Strong evidence of critical approach to key issues and ability to evaluate arguments Coherent and compelling work logically presented A++ (90-100) Insightful work displaying in-depth knowledge. For research dissertation/project: publishable quality, outstanding research potential, originality and/or independent thought, ability to make informed judgments. Highest standards of presentation . A+ (80-89) Insightful work displaying in-depth knowledge. For research dissertation/project: work of publishable quality, excellent research potential, originality and/or independent thought, ability to make informed judgments. High standards of presentation. A (70-79) Thoughtful work displaying in-depth knowledge. For research dissertation/project: good research potential, evidence of independent thought, ability to make informed judgments. High standards of presentation. A coherent answer that demonstrates critical evaluation ~ Merit 60-69 Understanding Depth of knowledge Structure General In-depth understanding of key issues with evidence of some originality Key issues analysed, relevant sources used effectively to support argument/discussion Clear evidence of critical approach to key issues and some ability to evaluate arguments Coherent work logically presented B+ (65-69) Thoughtful work displaying good knowledge and accuracy. For research dissertation/project: some evidence of research potential, clear thinking and/or ability to make informed judgments. Good standards of presentation. B (60-64) Work displays good knowledge and accuracy. For research dissertation/project: some evidence of clear thinking and/or ability to make informed judgments. Good standards of presentation. 22 A coherent and logical answer which shows understanding of the basic principles ~ Pass 50 - 59 Understanding Depth of knowledge Structure General Understanding of some key issues with evidence of ability to reflect critically Some key issues addressed, relevant sources used to support argument/discussion Some evidence of critical approach to key issues and ability to evaluate arguments Competent work in places but lacks fluency/coherence C+ (55-59) Work displays knowledge and understanding in most areas but the standard of work is variable. For research dissertation/project: evidence of clear thinking in places but lacks insight. Satisfactory standards of presentation. C (50-54) Work displays knowledge and understanding in some areas but some key issues are not addressed. For research dissertation/project: some evidence of clear thinking but lacks insight and fluency. Satisfactory standards of presentation. A superficial answer with limited knowledge of core material and limited critical ability ~ Fail 40 – 491 Understanding Depth of knowledge Structure General Superficial understanding of some key issues, lack of focus Key issues not always understood or addressed, gaps in use of relevant sources to support work Limited evidence of a critical approach to key issues and ability to evaluate arguments Weaknesses in structure, fluency and/or coherence F+ (40-49) Work displays patchy knowledge and understanding and some key issues are not addressed. For the research dissertation/project: limited evidence of clear thinking, insight and/or fluency. Presentational weaknesses. An answer almost entirely lacking in evidence of knowledge and understanding ~ Fail 0-39 Understanding Depth of knowledge Structure General Lack of understanding of, or focus on key issues Key issues misunderstood or not addressed, limited or no use of relevant sources to support work No evidence of a critical approach to key issues or ability to evaluate arguments Work is confused and incoherent F (33-39) Incomplete answers with only peripheral knowledge relevant to the questions. Displays poor, disorganized presentation. F (20-32) Some attempt to write something relevant but with many flaws; nothing of substance, F (0 -19) Serious errors, largely irrelevant material or unacceptably brief. Approved CASC March 2015 1 A mark ≥40 - <50 is condonable where programme specific regulations permit 学霸联盟