This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 1 ECON7021 Policy Analysis Assessment Task Policy Analysis Assessment Type Individual assessment: Research report and video presentation Weighting 30% of course mark (100 marks reweighted to 30%) Due Date 16 May, 4 pm Maximum Limits • Report: Maximum 600 words • Slides: Maximum five (5) slides • Video: Maximum five (5) minutes See pages 11 to 15 for further details. Submission You must submit three files to meet the assessment requirements. To see the submission links, you must first submit your agreement to the pledge at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Academic Integrity Pledge. 1. Submit your report for Parts 1 and 2 as a Word document via Turnitin at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Turnitin submission of report. 2. Submit the slides for Part 3 (as included in your video presentation) as a PowerPoint Presentation document via Turnitin at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Turnitin submission of slides. 3. Submit your video recording for Part 3 via the assignment submission link at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Submission of video. See page 16 for further submission details. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 2 Marking Rubric Consult the marking criteria and associated weights in the marking rubric (see Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Marking Rubric) to guide your planning and completion of this assessment task. Academic Integrity UQ has strict rules against academic misconduct, including cheating, plagiarism, colluding and solicitation. You are responsible for preserving the highest standards of academic integrity in your work. You are not permitted to use Artificial Intelligence (AI) or generative AI tools for the following: writing a report, producing a video, generating an avatar of yourself, creating or adding an artificial voice, editing any of the images or audio of the video, or adjusting the speed of the recording. However, at your own risk, you are allowed to use AI tools to create ideas or slides, check your report or slides, generate closed captions (CC), or create a transcript of your video. Please read and familiarise yourself with the Student Code of Conduct and Student Integrity and Misconduct policies. Context Part 1 of this assessment tests your understanding of the material covered in Topic 1. You may also want to review the monetary policy component of Topic 5 before completing this section. By tracking data of the three key macroeconomic indicators discussed in Topic 1, we can analyse the macroeconomic performance of a country over time and determine whether the short-run impact of external shocks and implemented policies, such as monetary policy, align with expectations. Parts 2 and 3 of the assessment test your understanding of Topics 7, 8 and 9. Topics 7 and 8 covered the IS-LM model for closed economies, and Topic 9 covered the IS*-LM* or Mundell-Fleming model for small open economies with perfect capital mobility. We can use these models to determine the expected short-run economic effect of shocks or policy adjustments and the adjustment to long-run equilibrium. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 3 Task Description Part 1: ChatGPT Investigation (Around 300 words) Complete Part 1 in your report. Despite knowing that generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools can provide inaccurate or incorrect data and analyses with insufficient references or even fake sources, we asked ChatGPT, a generative AI tool, to write an essay of 500 words. Table 1, spread over page 3, page 4 and the top of page 5, provides the prompt we gave to ChatGPT and its response (OpenAI, 2025). You are tasked to critique the essay written by ChatGPT. Your task is to critique the provided ChatGPT response and report your findings in a maximum of 300 words in a Word document. To critique the ChatGPT essay, you need to compare the information in the ChatGPT response in Table 1 to the prompt given to ChatGPT, the relevant ECON7021 learning material, UQ requirements for essays, and reliable data and other reference sources to determine which information is inaccurate, incomplete, or missing. Refer to the checklist on page 5 and the tips on page 6 to ensure your critique addresses all relevant aspects. Table 1 Prompt and ChatGPT Response Reference OpenAI. (2024). ChatGPT [Large language model]. https://chat.openai.com/ Prompt Write an essay of 500 words covering the following aspects. Analyse the monetary policy stance of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) from 2022 until the end of 2024. Assess the impact of the relevant cash rate changes made by the RBA on the Australian macroeconomic performance by referring to quarterly data of the three key macroeconomic indicators from 2022 until 2024. Do you agree with the RBA’s decision to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points in February 2025? This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 4 ChatGPT Response Analysis of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Monetary Policy (2022–2024) and the February 2025 Cash Rate Decision Between 2022 and 2024, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) adopted a proactive and adaptive approach to monetary policy, responding to evolving economic conditions. Initially, the RBA maintained a low cash rate to support economic recovery post- pandemic. However, as inflationary pressures emerged, the RBA shifted its stance towards tightening monetary policy. Monetary Policy Actions (2022–2024) In 2022, the RBA’s cash rate remained at 0.10% to stimulate economic activity and employment during the recovery phase. As inflation began to rise in 2023, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased demand, the RBA commenced a series of rate hikes. By the end of 2024, the cash rate was adjusted to 4.35%. Macroeconomic Indicators (2022–2024) • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The Australian economy exhibited moderate growth. In the December quarter of 2024, GDP rose by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, resulting in a 1.3% increase over the year. • Inflation: Inflation remained a concern throughout this period. By the December quarter of 2024, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation was 2.4%, indicating a moderation from previous highs. • Unemployment: The unemployment rate showed resilience. In December 2024, it stood at 4.0%, reflecting a stable labor market. Assessment of the February 2025 Cash Rate Cut In February 2025, the RBA reduced the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%. This decision was influenced by several factors: • Inflation Trends: The CPI had moderated to within the RBA’s target range, suggesting that inflationary pressures were under control. • Global Economic Conditions: The global economic environment, particularly developments in the U.S.–China trade relations, indicated potential risks to Australia’s economic stability. • Domestic Economic Indicators: While GDP growth remained positive, there were concerns about the sustainability of this growth, necessitating a cautious approach to monetary policy. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 5 Conclusion The RBA’s decision to lower the cash rate in February 2025 appears to be a prudent response to the prevailing economic conditions. By easing the cash rate, the RBA aims to support economic growth while maintaining inflation within target levels. This balanced approach reflects the RBA’s commitment to fostering a stable macroeconomic environment. To ensure your critique addresses all relevant aspects, check your report against the following checklist. CHECKLIST • Did you check and report whether ChatGPT considered all relevant changes in the cash rate (the policy rate) made by the Reserve Bank of Australia? • Did you check and report whether the ChatGPT response considered all quarterly data from 2022 to 2024 for the three key macroeconomic indicators identified in Topic 1 and if the reported data values are correct? Did you check which economic growth indicator ChatGPT reported and if it aligns with the recommendation provided in Topic 1 for analysing economic growth for a single country? Did you check which inflation indicator ChatGPT reported? o We suggest you consult the appropriate national data sources to create and include a table in your report that details the appropriate and correct quarterly data values from 2022 to 2024 for the three key macroeconomic indicators. For consistency, round indicator values to one decimal place. • Did you check and report whether you agree with all the statements in the ChatGPT response? • Did you check and report whether ChatGPT met the word limit for the essay as specified in the prompt? Would you have included more or less information and details than ChatGPT did if you were asked to respond to the prompt? • Did you check and report whether ChatGPT wrote the essay in a format that aligns with the UQ expectations for research essays? • Did you check and report whether ChatGPT cited supporting sources? This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 6 Here are some further tips for Part 1. TIPS • Do not answer the prompt given to ChatGPT. You are not asked to write an essay. Instead, you need to critically analyse the essay written by ChatGPT and report your findings. • Do not explain concepts or definitions of commonly used macroeconomic indicators. • Your policy and data sources should be national agencies, e.g., the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and the Reserve Bank of Australia. • Cite reliable sources to support your findings and include the full reference details of those sources in the reference list at the end of your report (after Part 2). This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 7 Part 2: IS-LM Model (Maximum 300 words) Complete Part 2 in your report. For your allocated policy scenario (see Table 2 for allocation), your task is to model and report the following in a maximum of 300 words in a Word document: • Use the Keynesian cross diagram together with the IS curve diagram to illustrate and briefly explain the direction of the shift in the IS curve. • Use diagrams of the market for real money balances and the LM curve to illustrate and briefly explain the direction of the shift in the LM curve. • Use an IS-LM model diagram to illustrate and explain the expected short-run impact of your allocated fiscal-monetary mix, ceteris paribus (that is, holding other things equal). You must complete this part of the assessment task assuming a closed economy and your allocated policy scenario, with the allocation indicated in Table 2 below. Table 2 Policy Scenario Allocation Last digit of your eight-digit student ID Policy scenario 0 or 1 A reduction in transfer payments and an expansionary monetary policy 2 or 3 An increase in transfer payments and an expansionary monetary policy 4 or 5 A reduction in lump-sum taxes and a contractionary monetary policy 6 or 7 An increase in lump-sum taxes and a contractionary monetary policy 8 or 9 An increase in government expenditure and a contractionary monetary policy This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 8 PLEASE NOTE • The allocation you must use for Part 2 is based on the last digit of your full eight-digit student number. For example, if your student ID is 44194358, then your allocated policy scenario for Part 2 is as follows: An increase in government expenditure and a contractionary monetary policy. • The number in your student username and email (e.g., s4419435) is not your student ID; it misses the last digit (i.e. 8 in this example). A 10-mark penalty will be applied to your total assignment mark if you fail to follow the allocation rules for Part 2. Below are a few tips to consider when writing Part 2. TIPS • Part 2 does not require data collection. • Revise Topics 7 and 8 before completing Part 2. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 9 Part 3: Mundell-Fleming Model (Maximum five slides and five minutes) Complete Part 3 on your slides and in the video recording of your presentation. For your allocated country (see Table 3 for allocation), complete the following tasks and communicate your findings, verbally and visually, in a recorded video presentation (maximum of five slides and maximum length of five minutes): • First, name your allocated country. • Second, indicate whether your allocated country’s overall monetary policy stance for 2024 was looser (expansionary), tighter (contractionary), or unchanged (neutral) compared to that of 2023. You can explain and illustrate the monetary policy stance by referring to the main changes in your allocated country’s policy rate in 2024 compared to that of 2023. • Illustrate and explain the expected short-run impact of your allocated country’s monetary policy of 2024, ceteris paribus (that is, holding other things equal), using the appropriate Mundell-Fleming (IS*-LM*) model. You must complete this part of the assessment task for your allocated country, with the country allocation indicated in Table 3 below. Assume your allocated country is a small open economy with free capital flows. Table 3 Country Allocation Last digit of your eight-digit student ID Country 0 or 1 Switzerland 2 or 3 Norway 4 or 5 Sweden 6 or 7 New Zealand 8 or 9 Canada This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 10 PLEASE NOTE • The country you must use for Part 3 is based on the last digit of your full eight- digit student number. For example, if your student ID is 44194358, then your allocated country for Part 3 is Canada. • The number in your student username and email (e.g., s4419435) is not your student ID; it misses the last digit (i.e. 8 in this example). A 10-mark penalty will be applied to your total assignment mark if you fail to follow the country allocation rules for Part 3. Below are a few tips to consider when completing Part 3. TIPS • Revise Topic 9 before completing Part 3. • Your monetary policy source should be the website of your allocated country’s monetary policy authority, that is, its official central bank. o Cite the source(s) on the relevant slide and include the full reference details of the source(s) in a reference list on your last slide. • Ensure your video presentation is accessible to people with low vision or who are deaf or hard of hearing. Thus, use suitably large font sizes for the slides, and ensure your video recording displays closed captions (CC) to accompany your voice or include a separate transcript. All information in the video (illustrations, text and voice) must be in English to ensure professional communication. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 11 Additional Requirements for Report Please adhere to the following requirements when compiling your Policy Analysis report for Parts 1 and 2. Penalties will apply, in line with the marking rubric, if you fail to follow these instructions. PLEASE NOTE You must use the report template available at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Report Template. The template includes a cover sheet. Complete and include this cover sheet with your submission. Do not start writing your report on the cover page. Instead, the first page of your report should be the page after the coversheet (as in the template). • Formatting requirements: o Word document o Font type and size: Arial 11 o Line spacing: 1.5 o Word limit: Maximum of 600 words • Word count: o The word count excludes the cover sheet, title, section headings, short tables, figures, table and figure headings, figure notes, and the reference list. o The word count includes your writing and in-text citations. • General: o Do not use footnotes or endnotes. • Tables and graphs: o You must produce your own tables and figures rather than cut and paste them from other sources. o Insert tables and figures as images (pictures) rather than Excel objects in your document. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 12 REFERENCING TIPS • Referencing style: References and citations must be in APA 7th referencing style. o Consult the APA 7th referencing style guide. o You can use direct quotes, provided the total number of quoted words is 10 or less in the report. • If you directly quote the original content word for word, it must be in quotation marks. • When to paraphrase and when to quote? Refer to the Academic Integrity Modules (AIM) modules and the Write, Cite and Submit module. This guide from the University of Adelaide may also be helpful to you. • Only use sources written in English. • You must reference sources for your text and tables. • You must cite and reference sources even when paraphrasing the original content. • Having more in-text citations and references will reduce the number of words for the main body. But, having too few in-text citations and references will lessen the report’s credibility. Therefore, you need to balance the two. • Turnitin similarity percentage: o The Turnitin similarity index value of your report should not exceed 15%. o While most instances of plagiarism are unintentional (for example, forgetting to close a quotation mark), the Turnitin originality report will reveal any form of plagiarism (intentional or unintentional) and the use of Artificial Intelligence tools. o From the originality report, the marker will check whether any part of your report is potentially plagiarised from other sources, which could result in mark penalties, as shown in the marking rubric. Thus, carefully review the originality report before your final submission. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 13 Additional Requirements for Slides and Video Please adhere to the following requirements when compiling your Policy Analysis video presentation for Part 3. Penalties will apply, in line with the details below and the marking rubric, if you fail to follow these instructions. PLEASE NOTE • Slide requirements o Format: PowerPoint Presentation document (.pptx extension) o Minimum number of slides: Four (4), including the title slide o Maximum number of slides: Five (5), including the title slide o Title slide: The first slide should be a title slide that includes a title (for example, Policy Analysis for Canada if your allocated country is Canada) and your full name and eight-digit student number as the subtitle. o Font: Choose any font type and consistently use that font type for all the slides. Ensure the font size is large enough for readability. o Graphs: Your presentation can include a maximum of two graphs. ▪ Your slides could include full, detailed graphs. ▪ Alternatively, some slides could be empty or include only partial details, in which case you must draw all the missing details (annotate the slides) while recording your video presentation. The slides you submit do not need to include such annotations. • Video presentation requirements o Maximum video length: ▪ Five (5) minutes, excluding identification ▪ Five and half minutes (5 min 30 seconds), including identification o Identification: You must follow the following process to identify yourself. If the identification process is missing from the start of your submitted video recording, we cannot mark your slides or video, and you will receive a zero (0) mark for all the marking criteria for the slides and video. ▪ During the first 15 to 30 seconds of your video recording, your This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 14 device camera needs to record you and your UQ student ID card in full-screen mode (without screen sharing). ▪ Hold your student ID card up close to the camera next to your face. ▪ Your device microphone needs to record your voice as you state your full name and eight-digit student number. o Presentation: ▪ After identifying yourself, you can commence screen sharing of your PowerPoint presentation to record the slides while you present the details. Do not speak too quickly or read from notes. ▪ Ensure your device microphone and camera remain switched on throughout your entire presentation to record your voice and a video insert of your face. o Accessibility: Before submitting the video recording, double-check that it passes the following quality requirements. ▪ You must be physically and clearly visible in the video recording. ▪ In the first 15 to 30 seconds of the recording, your face and student ID card must be clearly visible in full-screen mode, with all details on your student ID card (photo, full name and student number) in focus and clearly legible. Your voice should be clearly audible. ▪ In the remainder of the recording, slides should be in full-screen mode, with your voice clearly audible, your face clearly visible in the video insert, all text clearly legible, and CC displayed (or available). As a substitute for CC, you could submit a transcript of the recording. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 15 REFERENCING GUIDELINES • Referencing style: APA 7th referencing style o Do not cite or reference ECON7021 learning material. o However, all other sources should be cited in your presentation, and the details should be added to a reference list on the last slide of your presentation. • Create your own graphs. You are not allowed to include graphs copied from the course videos, course slides, course documents, or any other online sources. • Turnitin similarity percentage: o The Turnitin similarity index value of your slides should not exceed 25%. o While most instances of plagiarism are unintentional (for example, forgetting to close a quotation mark), the Turnitin originality report will reveal any form of plagiarism (intentional or unintentional) and the use of Artificial Intelligence tools. o From the originality report, the marker will check whether any part of your slides is potentially plagiarised from other sources, which could result in mark penalties, as shown in the marking rubric. Thus, carefully review the originality report before your final submission. This content is protected and may not be shared, uploaded, or distributed. © The University of Queensland 2025 16 SUBMITTING YOUR DOCUMENTS • You must submit your report, slides and video (i.e., three files) to meet the requirements of this assessment task. To see the submission links, you must first submit your agreement to the pledge at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Academic Integrity Pledge. o Submit your report for Parts 1 and 2 as a Word document via Turnitin at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Turnitin submission of report. o Submit your slides for Part 3 (as included in your video) as a PowerPoint Presentation document via Turnitin at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Turnitin submission of slides. o Submit the recording of your video presentation for Part 3 via the assignment submission link at Learn.UQ > Assessment > Policy Analysis > Policy Analysis - Submission of video. • Due time: o The due date and time for submission indicate when your slides and video must be successfully uploaded to Learn.UQ (Blackboard) through the submission links. o The submission deadline does not indicate the time when you can start to upload your documents. The only way to guarantee that you meet the deadline is to submit your slides and video recording well before the deadline. o Many students fail to meet the deadline because they have internet connection problems on their side, but they mistake it as a UQ IT problem. UQ keeps a record of disruptions to systems such as Learn.UQ or Turnitin, and only those disruptions will be considered as exceptions. • Resubmission: o You can resubmit your assessment documents multiple times until the due time. o Note that from the third resubmission onwards, Turnitin will only make the Similarity Report available 24 hours after your resubmission.
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