1 ENVH7001 Assignment 2 –Health effect assessment: dose-response models Due date: 7th May 3pm, online submission via Turnitin. Assignment 1. Select two or more case studies from EACH of the Dose Response Model Groups listed in Annex (i.e., minimum two from Group 1 and two from Group 2); 2. Provide a critical review on: a) A description of the pathogen for which the dose response model was developed (e.g., mode of transmission, infectivity and disease(s), level of infection, severity of disease, etc.) b) The method(s) used to obtain the dose response model(s); c) A basic description of the statistics and model fits used; d) Any limitations to the model for use in different human risk assessments and management applications; and e) If the dose response model described has been superseded by more up-to-date model(s) or has superseded an earlier model provide a discussion on what changes and improvements have been made. 3. Write a report following the instructions below. Report structure Maximum 6 pages, excluding references, following the structure below: 1. Executive summary (max. 0.5 pages) Brief summary of the critical review done in the report and major conclusions. 2. Introduction (max. 1 page) • Brief introduction to dose response models and their relevance in the health effects assessment of a QMRA. • Description of the objectives of the report. 3. Case study description (max. 1.5 pages) • Summary of the selected papers from each of the Groups, indicating: • Description of the hazard studied in each of them: the pathogen, mode of transmission, infectivity and disease, potential sequela investigated in the paper, level of infection, severity of the disease, etc. • Description of the data origin (e.g. volunteers, animals, outbreak data) and if tests were carried out using a wild type, lab strain or surrogate pathogen. • Description of the method(s) used to obtain the dose response model(s) and a basic description of the statistics and model fits used. 2 4. Discussion (max. 2.5 pages) • Critical analysis and discussion, based on the points highlighted above, comparing the two Groups, as well as aspects for each of the case studies within each Group. • Discussion of any limitations to the model for use in different human risk assessments and management applications; • Compare the two sub-sets of papers (Group 1 vs Group 2) and discuss if the dose response model described has been superseded by more up-to-date model(s) or has superseded an earlier model provide a discussion on what changes and improvements have been made. 5. Conclusions (max. 0.5 pages) Summing up the main conclusions of the report in regard to the approaches used for determination of dose-response relationships, and their importance in health effect assessment and in QMRA. 6. References Recommend using APA referencing style: https://guides.library.uq.edu.au/referencing/apa7 Marking scheme Element Marks Excellent (80-100%) Good (60-80%) Average (40-60%) Poor <40% Executive summary 10 Effectively summarises all elements in report Achieving goal but poor clarity Misses parts but otherwise good summary Not a summary Introduction 15 Good introduction, and clearly describes the objectives Some faults in key points for objective definition but otherwise good introduction Report objectives not clearly stated or serious faults in the introduction to the topic Does not communicate with the intent of report or completely misses the context of the report Case study description 25 Papers adequately selected from each of the Groups. Excellent analysis of the case studies. Good analysis of the case studies but some aspects missing. Analysis of the case studies incomplete and many key aspects for comparison missing. Very incomplete or incorrect analysis of the case studies. Discussion 35 Critical analysis and discussion of data retrieved from the different case studies comprehensive and correct Critical discussion misses some of the key aspects but generally good. Critical analysis of the case studies is seriously incomplete or wrong. Critical analysis of the case studies is inadequate. Conclusions 10 Conclusions clearly formulated and adequately placed within the big picture. Moderately clear conclusions, contextualised but not totally clear or adequately. Conclusions lack clarity and/or framing in the big picture. Inadequate conclusions or contextualisatio n. Presentation overall 5 Limited errors, typos etc. Report is clearly laid out. Well integrated. References correctly presented. Minor typos but well laid out. Few mistakes in references. Inconsistent sectioning used. Report does not flow well. Many referencing errors. Difficult to read and interpret. No references or totally inadequate or inconsistent reference style. 3 Annex Please select two or more papers from each group for your assignment. You can find a pdf copy of each of these papers on Blackboard. Dose response Model Group 1 Regli et al. 1991. Modelling the risk from Giardia and viruses in drinking water. Journal of the American Water Works Association. 83:76-84 McCullough, N.; Eisele, C. Experimental human salmonellosis: I. Pathogenicity of strains of Salmonella meleagridis and Salmonella anatum obtained from spray dried whole egg. J. Infect. Dis. 1951, 88, 278−89. Dupont, HL (1995) The Infectivity of Cryptosporidium-parvum in Healthy-Volunteers New England Journal of Medicine. 332(13): 855-859 Medema et al. (1996) Assessment of the dose-response relationship of Campylobacter jejuni. International Journal of Food Microbiology. 30:101-111. Dupont et al. (1969)The Response of Man to Virulent Shigella flexneri 2a. J. Infect. Dis., 119, 296−299. Ward, R. et al. (1986) Human rotavirus studies in volunteers: Determination of infectious dose and serological response to infection. J. Infect. Dis., 154, 871. Dose response Model Group 2 Teunis, P. et al. (2010) Dose-response modeling of Salmonella using outbreak data. International Journal of Food Microbiology. 144(2): 243-249 Teske SS et al. (2011) Animal and Human Dose-Response Models for Brucella Species. Risk Analysis 31(10) 1576-1596 Tamrakar, S et al. (2012) Dose-response model of murine typhus (Rickettsia typhi): time post inoculation and host age dependency analysis. BMC Infectious Diseases 12(77) Watanabe, T et al. (2012) Dose-Response Assessment for Influenza A Virus Based on Data Sets of Infection with its Live Attenuated Reassortants. Risk Analysis 32(3):555-565 Teske, S S.; et al. (2014) Dose-Response Models Incorporating Aerosol Size Dependency for Francisella tularensis. Risk Analysis 34 (5): 911-928 Watanabe, T. et al. (2014) Classic Dose-Response and Time Postinoculation Models for Leptospira. Risk Analysis 34(3): 465-484 Brooke, R. J et al. (2017) Use of a Dose-Response Model to Study Temporal Trends in Spatial Exposure to Coxiella burnetii: Analysis of a Multiyear Outbreak of Q Fever. Zoonoses and Public Health 64(2):118-126
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